PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

YajiumaKouta

0xf84ced5d8cf29e173e0b8b7f3200cd88fa03d545

Realised P&L
$-87.10
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$12.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1400.038$8.14−$21.86
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.005$4.23−$5.77
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026? · No0.0080.000$0.00−$22.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Up0.3030.000$0.00−$5.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET · Up0.4930.000$0.00−$12.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up0.2520.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$19.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Up0.6680.000$0.00−$4.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-21 01:02Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETBUY0.6599999678$4.00
03-21 01:00Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSELL0.99$4.10
03-21 00:56Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.6899998185$2.82
03-21 00:55Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSELL0.99$2.89
03-21 00:53Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY0.9299999863$2.71
03-21 00:49Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSELL0.22$2.74
03-21 00:46Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.5899999723$7.24
03-21 00:40Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.25$4.91
03-21 00:40Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSELL0.99$11.84
03-21 00:36Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY0.6599999785$7.80
03-21 00:36Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.023$8.63
03-21 00:30Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.299999968$5.50
03-21 00:28Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.3899999774$4.86
03-21 00:25Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.5899999697$6.80
03-21 00:25Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETSELL0.99$17.61