YajiumaKouta
0xf84ced5d8cf29e173e0b8b7f3200cd88fa03d545
- Realised P&L
- $-87.10
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $12.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.038 | $8.14 | −$21.86 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.005 | $4.23 | −$5.77 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.44 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Up | 0.303 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.62 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET · Up | 0.493 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET · Up | 0.668 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.98at 0.654Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
- +$4.96at 0.579Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$3.85at 0.668Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$1.21at 0.698Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
- +$0.20at 0.931Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-21 01:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999678 | $4.00 |
| 03-21 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.10 |
| 03-21 00:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6899998185 | $2.82 |
| 03-21 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.89 |
| 03-21 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999863 | $2.71 |
| 03-21 00:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $2.74 |
| 03-21 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999723 | $7.24 |
| 03-21 00:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $4.91 |
| 03-21 00:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $11.84 |
| 03-21 00:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999785 | $7.80 |
| 03-21 00:36 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.023 | $8.63 |
| 03-21 00:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.299999968 | $5.50 |
| 03-21 00:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $4.86 |
| 03-21 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999697 | $6.80 |
| 03-21 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $17.61 |