kab19ddd12ab
0xf84539fe9cefc75f518d7d5229ffe2a01293c785
- Realised P&L
- $-180.13
- Volume
- $101.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,308
- Open portfolio
- $13.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,308
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1AM ET · Down | 0.480 | 0.905 | $4.53 | +$2.13 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1AM ET · Down | 0.740 | 0.885 | $4.42 | +$0.72 |
| Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1AM ET · Down | 0.660 | 0.935 | $2.75 | +$0.81 |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.293 | $1.47 | +$0.71 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.032 | $0.16 | −$0.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.79at 0.072Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage
- +$57.46at 0.063LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
- +$51.69at 0.106Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner
- +$50.91at 0.060LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
- +$44.90at 0.060Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar - Map 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 21:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $17.08 |
| 09-12 21:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $6.27 |
| 09-12 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5365392043 | $13.89 |
| 09-12 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $5.29 |
| 09-12 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $8.96 |
| 09-12 21:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $15.92 |
| 09-12 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $12.68 |
| 09-12 20:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $11.86 |
| 09-12 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $15.30 |
| 09-12 20:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $9.44 |
| 09-12 20:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $15.05 |
| 09-12 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $10.31 |
| 09-12 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3904024298 | $10.28 |
| 09-12 20:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $10.41 |
| 09-12 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6475590551 | $16.45 |