jcacki
0xf83a1260286d25ad8fc8d225afbd7d4096e495f6
- Realised P&L
- $-78.16
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 258
- Open portfolio
- $219.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded258
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.41at 0.775Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on October 8?
- +$28.56at 0.368Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
- +$20.43at 0.413Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$19.90at 0.339Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$18.64at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999387 | $2.65 |
| 10-10 14:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999322 | $3.15 |
| 10-10 14:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 10-10 14:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999477 | $3.25 |
| 10-10 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-10 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-10 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.449999933 | $2.35 |
| 10-10 09:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6999999576 | $3.30 |
| 10-10 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5999999593 | $2.95 |
| 10-10 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999458 | $3.05 |
| 10-10 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999689 | $2.25 |
| 10-10 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999387 | $2.55 |
| 10-10 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.80 |
| 10-10 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or higher on October 12? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.70 |