PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Adams8274305

0xf8357b957189af82cb82562d9d98434e75f479ac

Realised P&L
$-10.37
Volume
$155.4k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$5.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30? · No0.9890.977$5.10$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 08:53Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30?BUY0.9889999989$5.17
09-09 08:53Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?SELL0.97$5.89
09-01 07:33Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.9679998564$5.88
08-07 05:24Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?BUY0.9619999987$5.84
08-07 05:23Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.94$5.79
07-23 04:40Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9914394192$6.11
07-23 04:40Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?SELL0.93$4.82
06-07 05:34Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?BUY0.9299999904$4.82
06-07 05:33Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.98$1.43
05-14 06:41Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.96$1.41
05-14 06:40Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?SELL0.998$6.24
04-09 16:25Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?BUY0.999$6.25
04-06 04:33Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 9?BUY0.97$6.05
04-06 04:32Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?SELL0.961$6.07
03-13 09:20Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9489999356$6.00