Adams8274305
0xf8357b957189af82cb82562d9d98434e75f479ac
- Realised P&L
- $-10.37
- Volume
- $155.4k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $5.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30? · No | 0.989 | 0.977 | $5.10 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.29at 0.736Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 9?
- +$0.25at 0.956U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?
- +$0.25at 0.959Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?
- +$0.23at 0.930Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 10 above $530?
- +$0.22at 0.963Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 08:53 | Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30? | BUY | 0.9889999989 | $5.17 |
| 09-09 08:53 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | SELL | 0.97 | $5.89 |
| 09-01 07:33 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.9679998564 | $5.88 |
| 08-07 05:24 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31? | BUY | 0.9619999987 | $5.84 |
| 08-07 05:23 | Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $5.79 |
| 07-23 04:40 | Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9914394192 | $6.11 |
| 07-23 04:40 | Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.82 |
| 06-07 05:34 | Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999904 | $4.82 |
| 06-07 05:33 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.43 |
| 05-14 06:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.41 |
| 05-14 06:40 | Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.24 |
| 04-09 16:25 | Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.25 |
| 04-06 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 9? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.05 |
| 04-06 04:32 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $6.07 |
| 03-13 09:20 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9489999356 | $6.00 |