test21310
0xf831a7dbeccd443c8a8aafb4cc2af9005e2dce13
- Realised P&L
- $512.35
- Volume
- $130.2k
- Markets traded
- 4,328
- Open portfolio
- $34.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,328
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $20.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.995 | 0.998 | $10.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of September 21 above $130? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.975 | $4.92 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.45at 0.647Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
- +$53.76at 0.462Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
- +$33.01at 0.813Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
- +$25.00at 0.452Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
- +$23.68at 0.834MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Draw at halftime?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 12:43 | LoL: NightBirds vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs | BUY | 0.9785107302 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 12:42 | LoL: 9Gaming vs 1TAP Dino (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season | BUY | 0.999 | $12.52 |
| 09-20 12:42 | LoL: 9Gaming vs 1TAP Dino - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 12:41 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 09-20 10:45 | Map Handicap: SAW.Y (-1.5) vs WBT (+1.5) | BUY | 0.991 | $10.90 |
| 09-20 10:42 | Game Handicap: APBR (-1.5) vs ONIC PH (+1.5) | BUY | 0.9875 | $19.75 |
| 09-20 10:34 | LoL: MVK Academy vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - VCS Finals Regular Season | BUY | 0.99 | $5.93 |
| 09-20 09:00 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of September 21 above $130? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 08:55 | Bitcoin above 80,800 on September 20, 5AM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-20 08:55 | Bitcoin above 81,000 on September 20, 5AM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-20 08:55 | Ethereum above 2,540 on September 20, 5AM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-20 08:54 | Ethereum above 2,600 on September 20, 5AM ET? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-20 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.85 |
| 09-20 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.998999981 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 08:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.50 |