PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lodespates

0xf82bbc01213d38d6fb470e9c82066bb1d37beb30

Realised P&L
$-10.48
Volume
$254.64
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$59.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7400.765$20.68+$0.68
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.9200.875$19.02$0.98
Will Cracker Barrel (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8200.845$10.20+$0.30
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9100.895$9.84$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 20:36Will Cracker Barrel (CBRL) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8199999818$9.90
09-14 20:33Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.99$9.99
09-14 04:38Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
09-14 04:36Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.9199999963$10.00
09-14 04:35Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.9199999963$10.00
09-14 04:35Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.9933855756$14.32
09-14 04:35Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.997$15.66
09-13 18:32Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.6930693062$10.00
09-13 18:31GTA 6 launch postponed again?SELL0.93$9.89
09-13 18:25Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.69999972$1.00
09-13 18:25Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.699999965$10.00
09-13 18:24Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.3$11.69
09-13 15:02Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to C or KD?SELL0.06$0.06
09-13 12:22Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.7699999992$30.00
09-11 21:35Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to C or KD?BUY0.9399999624$1.00