PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cabjez

0xf82956950383b7587bebccf677a4d20d5a1e0688

Realised P&L
$-104.05
Volume
$34.6k
Markets traded
638
Open portfolio
$17.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded638
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? · Yes0.2500.235$5.95−$0.38
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.2400.195$3.90−$0.90
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.2000.280$2.80+$0.80
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.1500.135$1.35−$0.15
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.1300.060$1.20−$1.40
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.3400.112$1.00−$2.04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? · Yes0.2500.065$0.97−$2.77
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.2000.080$0.80−$1.20
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$1.38
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$0.74
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$1.58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.80
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00−$2.56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$2.80
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 20:46Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Romania?SELL0.999$18.16
09-25 17:50Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.13$2.60
09-25 17:50Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.15$1.50
09-25 15:25Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Romania?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
09-25 15:25Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Romania?BUY0.1$1.00
09-24 20:20Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.09$1.80
09-24 19:26Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.12$1.20
09-24 16:56Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.25$3.75
09-24 16:46Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.106$1.06
09-23 20:03Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?BUY0.25$6.33
09-23 09:26Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
09-23 09:26Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
09-23 09:26Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.24$4.80
09-22 20:08Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?SELL0.385$21.10
09-22 18:30Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.0434666667$1.96