Cabjez
0xf82956950383b7587bebccf677a4d20d5a1e0688
- Realised P&L
- $142.80
- Volume
- $25.0k
- Markets traded
- 510
- Open portfolio
- $130.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded510
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.855 | $100.98 | +$1.77 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.313 | $15.39 | +$0.82 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.195 | $5.85 | +$1.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.173 | $3.47 | +$1.47 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.075 | $2.27 | +$0.53 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.100 | $1.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.110 | 0.046 | $0.93 | −$1.27 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.055 | $0.55 | −$0.65 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.25at 0.168Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$38.14at 0.875Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$33.01at 0.633Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$31.81at 0.650Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
- +$29.99at 0.069Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:56 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $99.20 |
| 08-03 08:54 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.298 | $4.17 |
| 08-03 08:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.295 | $2.95 |
| 08-02 22:33 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $4.76 |
| 08-02 21:22 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.20 |
| 08-02 21:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.0470909091 | $5.18 |
| 08-02 16:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.54 |
| 08-02 14:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 08-02 14:16 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 14:16 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.058 | $0.29 |
| 08-02 14:07 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 08-02 09:17 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.042568 | $0.43 |
| 08-01 17:26 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 08-01 17:21 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 08-01 08:04 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |