lhetorar
0xf828681ac93e8e54f8fa1e8f7b020e8d17fc6129
- Realised P&L
- $16.5k
- Volume
- $620.0k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EC Vitória win on 2026-10-10? · No | 0.860 | 1.000 | $4.4k | +$618.09 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.748 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-27? · No | 0.857 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$267.85 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$971.42 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913? · No | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.546Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz
- +$2.7kat 0.523China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider
- +$1.8kat 0.628Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
- +$1.6kat 0.817China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens
- +$1.6kat 0.649Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 00:39 | Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.0k |
| 10-11 00:18 | Will EC Vitória win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8599587064 | $3.1k |
| 10-10 20:23 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.9k |
| 10-10 20:22 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8409313638 | $1.8k |
| 10-10 20:02 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.6023804784 | $1.4k |
| 10-10 20:02 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.0k |
| 10-10 20:02 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.39 | $974.58 |
| 10-10 20:01 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.2568146423 | $374.99 |
| 10-10 20:01 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.7399582172 | $1.8k |
| 10-10 20:01 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.29 | $12.21 |
| 10-10 20:01 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.7288888889 | $98.40 |
| 10-10 20:00 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.8436325116 | $131.40 |
| 10-10 19:12 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.9k |
| 10-10 18:56 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.82 | $3.8k |
| 10-10 18:53 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.88 | $22.63 |