alanbrag
0xf828582ef19b9d228e0508f5f7cc77374cecb1e8
- Realised P&L
- $-0.65
- Volume
- $620.58
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $76.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · No | 0.172 | 0.175 | $37.28 | +$0.74 |
| Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.215 | $29.22 | +$4.18 |
| Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.043 | $7.23 | −$2.44 |
| Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.030 | $3.21 | −$5.40 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 16:31 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.1715045598 | $36.54 |
| 08-08 18:32 | Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.2180627024 | $18.55 |
| 08-08 18:26 | Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.1276013149 | $6.49 |
| 06-02 00:30 | Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | BUY | 0.0817604083 | $8.61 |
| 06-02 00:29 | Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.0914275683 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 04:10 | Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.041847378 | $4.67 |