kkkiiooik
0xf82376dcd87367048036262e3a1d79f15290b083
- Realised P&L
- $-48.25
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $62.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.972 | $37.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.952 | $25.59 | +$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.64at 0.560Stars vs. Jets
- +$109.70at 0.629Ducks vs. Blues
- +$85.09at 0.220Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?
- +$82.73at 0.440Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$71.93at 0.620Hurricanes vs. Flyers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 20:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $91.84 |
| 10-12 16:13 | Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9619999997 | $37.00 |
| 08-14 06:03 | Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $25.00 |
| 08-14 06:03 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599999825 | $22.00 |
| 04-19 08:29 | Will Solana dip to $30 in April? | BUY | 0.9959999992 | $831.76 |
| 03-31 11:57 | Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9491811062 | $22.73 |
| 03-31 11:49 | Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.96 | $19.98 |
| 03-31 11:45 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 10:59 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789999621 | $20.12 |
| 03-04 10:58 | EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9739999929 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 10:56 | Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9879999999 | $42.00 |
| 03-04 10:55 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $20.00 |
| 03-04 10:55 | Will Hibachi launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $25.00 |
| 02-04 16:33 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.992 | $98.20 |
| 02-04 16:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9779999994 | $31.79 |