zailai
0xf8135e6dd56719c18cba3fe212fd76c00c44ce44
- Realised P&L
- $81.96
- Volume
- $785.24
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $32.78
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.817 | 1.000 | $12.23 | +$2.23 |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.935 | $5.99 | +$0.99 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.870 | 1.000 | $5.75 | +$0.75 |
| Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? · No | 0.911 | 0.620 | $4.76 | −$2.24 |
| Human moon landing in 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.986 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.956 | 0.962 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? · Down | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Up | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up | 0.406 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.23at 0.358Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
- +$57.12at 0.512Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
- +$37.62at 0.469Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$37.05at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
- +$17.18at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 03:30 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 13:52 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.8699998695 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 13:52 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 13:54 | Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8174999857 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 02:52 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 02:52 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 02:52 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 02:51 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 02:51 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.966999953 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 02:50 | Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? | BUY | 0.9112777537 | $7.00 |
| 06-04 06:13 | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9559995966 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 06:12 | Human moon landing in 2026? | BUY | 0.9689997296 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 06:11 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 06:10 | Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 06:09 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.829999956 | $10.00 |