PolyBot

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Traders

krikcrok

0xf811ef0712a03925ce67ae2af5318cfeb86b1792

Realised P&L
$-277.2k
Volume
$3.94M
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$11.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.2530.024$11.9k−$116.0k
Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$210.6k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$10.2k
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? · No0.1650.000$0.00−$13.2k
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00−$4.3k
Xi Jinping out before October? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$18.4k
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$3.4k
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00−$10.5k
Israel strikes Iran before September? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$640.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 06:56Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.07$5.0k
09-13 04:40Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.17$330.76
09-13 04:39Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.0834498663$3.4k
09-13 04:38Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.16$115.72
09-13 04:37Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.15$16.50
09-06 09:00Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.124567278$2.8k
09-06 08:57Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.120865908$4.3k
09-04 09:17Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.07$3.9k
09-04 09:11Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.07$5.0k
08-21 07:39Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.1705304796$9.2k
08-21 07:39Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.08$3.5k
08-21 07:38Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.08$7.1k
08-21 07:37Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?BUY0.1704977872$3.4k
08-19 13:16Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.09$3.9k
08-19 13:14Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.09$6.5k