krikcrok
0xf811ef0712a03925ce67ae2af5318cfeb86b1792
- Realised P&L
- $-277.2k
- Volume
- $3.94M
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $11.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes | 0.253 | 0.024 | $11.9k | −$116.0k |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.6k |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.2k |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? · No | 0.165 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.2k |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.3k |
| Xi Jinping out before October? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.4k |
| Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.4k |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.5k |
| Israel strikes Iran before September? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$640.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$511.99at 0.680Will Trump say "Inflation" during his AI speech on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 06:56 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.0k |
| 09-13 04:40 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $330.76 |
| 09-13 04:39 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0834498663 | $3.4k |
| 09-13 04:38 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $115.72 |
| 09-13 04:37 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $16.50 |
| 09-06 09:00 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.124567278 | $2.8k |
| 09-06 08:57 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.120865908 | $4.3k |
| 09-04 09:17 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.9k |
| 09-04 09:11 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.0k |
| 08-21 07:39 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.1705304796 | $9.2k |
| 08-21 07:39 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.5k |
| 08-21 07:38 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.1k |
| 08-21 07:37 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.1704977872 | $3.4k |
| 08-19 13:16 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.9k |
| 08-19 13:14 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.09 | $6.5k |