0xf80f0065fed492007ad57aed32ae4791d8d1cfdd
0xf80f0065fed492007ad57aed32ae4791d8d1cfdd
- Realised P&L
- $9.98
- Volume
- $738.69
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $105.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.21at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7?
- +$15.83at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?
- +$5.68at 0.695Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 6?
- +$5.65at 0.437Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 6?
- +$5.14at 0.609Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on October 8? | BUY | 0.2099999779 | $1.14 |
| 10-08 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.3509183494 | $1.81 |
| 10-08 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.2399999833 | $1.15 |
| 10-08 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.6099998941 | $1.90 |
| 10-08 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.5299999354 | $2.05 |
| 10-08 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.4499999612 | $1.16 |
| 10-08 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.8599999792 | $4.96 |
| 10-08 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.15 |
| 10-08 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.17 |
| 10-08 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.1699999836 | $1.14 |
| 10-08 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.5099999215 | $1.17 |
| 10-08 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.3799999476 | $1.16 |
| 10-08 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.4899999873 | $1.16 |
| 10-08 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 8? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.13 |
| 10-08 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.2899999445 | $1.15 |