PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xf80f0065fed492007ad57aed32ae4791d8d1cfdd

0xf80f0065fed492007ad57aed32ae4791d8d1cfdd

Realised P&L
$9.98
Volume
$738.69
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$105.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 8? · Yes0.5781.000$15.42+$6.51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 8? · No0.6510.710$11.21+$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 8? · No0.7820.920$5.80+$0.87
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 8? · Yes0.6000.940$5.53+$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 8? · Yes0.4900.635$5.33+$1.22
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8? · No0.8500.915$5.32+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 8? · Yes0.2970.335$5.18+$0.58
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 8? · No0.8600.860$4.96+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8? · No0.5860.605$4.37+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? · Yes0.6140.590$3.62−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8? · Yes0.1990.230$2.95+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8? · Yes0.5550.680$2.86+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 8? · Yes0.5100.435$2.85−$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 8? · Yes0.4120.470$2.65+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 8? · Yes0.4410.510$2.38+$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 12:02Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on October 8?BUY0.2099999779$1.14
10-08 12:02Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?BUY0.3509183494$1.81
10-08 11:11Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8?BUY0.2399999833$1.15
10-08 11:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8?BUY0.6099998941$1.90
10-08 11:02Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 8?BUY0.5299999354$2.05
10-08 11:02Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 8?BUY0.4499999612$1.16
10-08 10:12Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 8?BUY0.8599999792$4.96
10-08 10:11Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 8?BUY0.32$1.15
10-08 10:02Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8?BUY0.64$1.17
10-08 10:02Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8?BUY0.1699999836$1.14
10-08 10:02Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 8?BUY0.5099999215$1.17
10-08 10:02Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 8?BUY0.3799999476$1.16
10-08 10:02Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 8?BUY0.4899999873$1.16
10-08 10:02Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 8?BUY0.016$1.13
10-08 09:11Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 8?BUY0.2899999445$1.15