PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dabigferda

0xf80914a932812d83b33694c1c1ab5e743b6ab391

Realised P&L
$-733.37
Volume
$37.3k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6400.635$571.50$4.50
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.3540.385$265.05+$21.39
Will Kyler Murray be the Vikings' Week 1 starting QB? · Yes0.8000.840$252.00+$12.00
Will Jovana Nogic have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes0.1440.350$246.98+$145.65
Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5900.585$234.00$2.00
Pro Football: Aaron Donald to sign with any team before 2026-27 Regular Season? · Yes0.5100.925$92.50+$41.50
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0430.043$89.25$1.05
UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card) · Quillan Salkilld0.5370.565$75.49+$3.66
Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? · Yes0.2250.210$67.20$4.80
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes0.1920.141$61.12$22.15
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.6700.969$61.02+$18.81
Will the Bills win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6000.655$32.75+$2.75
Will Peyton Watson play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? · Yes0.3770.625$25.82+$10.25
Will A'ja Wilson have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes0.4250.680$22.44+$8.40
Will the Rams win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6700.700$22.27+$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 03:45Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.35$146.20
08-01 23:58Will the Bills win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.6$30.00
08-01 01:11Pro Football: Aaron Donald to sign with any team before 2026-27 Regular Season?BUY0.51$51.00
07-30 21:37Will the Rams win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.67$21.32
07-30 21:18Will Brendan Sorsby go undrafted in the 2026 NFL Supplemental Draft?BUY0.07$1.40
07-29 23:13Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago SkyBUY0.37$10.70
07-28 21:07Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsSELL0.59$177.00
07-28 18:29Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.997$86.40
07-28 18:29Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.993$95.33
07-28 18:29Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.989$6.63
07-28 18:29Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.987$39.58
07-28 18:28Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.981$29.43
07-28 18:28Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.9787305874$14.49
07-28 18:28Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.977$39.08
07-27 22:02Will A'ja Wilson have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?BUY0.2$80.20