dabigferda
0xf80914a932812d83b33694c1c1ab5e743b6ab391
- Realised P&L
- $-340.79
- Volume
- $56.4k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.122Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$455.60at 0.612Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$438.55at 0.456Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury
- +$390.53at 0.070Will Brendan Sorsby go undrafted in the 2026 NFL Supplemental Draft?
- +$315.30at 0.544Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 05:19 | Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.5883526116 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 15:22 | Will the Patriots win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.51 | $15.30 |
| 09-13 15:22 | Will the Patriots win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.47 | $61.10 |
| 09-13 02:36 | Packers vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-05 06:15 | Will Darian Mensah be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.01 |
| 09-02 07:59 | Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 16:55 | Will Chennedy Carter have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.9075 | $9.07 |
| 08-31 16:54 | Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.906 | $22.65 |
| 08-31 16:54 | Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 08-31 05:42 | Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.60 |
| 08-31 05:42 | Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.98 |
| 08-31 05:42 | Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.20 |
| 08-31 05:42 | Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.19 |
| 08-23 21:33 | Will Mike Washington Jr. win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.0069265247 | $0.81 |
| 08-21 20:33 | Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9797301785 | $23.60 |