PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dabigferda

0xf80914a932812d83b33694c1c1ab5e743b6ab391

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$79.2k
Markets traded
212
Open portfolio
$5.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded212
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6370.850$1.2k+$302.10
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South? · Yes0.5360.885$805.35+$317.95
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? · Yes0.5730.470$640.54−$140.02
Will the Patriots win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5610.570$479.62+$7.29
Will the Philadelphia Eagles have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? · No0.5280.969$426.62+$193.99
Will the Bills win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6860.670$358.61−$8.45
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.5130.480$246.48−$17.17
Will the Philadelphia Eagles have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? · No0.3800.940$245.34+$146.16
Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5900.550$220.00−$16.00
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? · U 10.50.6700.945$151.20+$44.00
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.0550.052$95.92−$5.06
Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.0360.046$70.36+$14.66
Will Colston Loveland have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.4900.415$59.76−$10.80
Will the Eagles win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6000.755$41.01+$8.42
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0400.015$18.85−$33.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 03:17Will Zay Flowers win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?BUY0.009$0.04
11-01 03:17Will Zay Flowers win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?BUY0.008$1.45
10-20 01:54Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?SELL0.2610625$6.27
10-20 01:53Will the Carolina Panthers win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?SELL0.29$13.27
10-20 01:53Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?SELL0.1540392383$26.69
10-20 01:53Will the Kansas City Chiefs be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.2740002$54.80
10-12 16:13Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.043895491$8.76
10-12 16:13Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.043$3.87
10-12 16:13Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.037$1.48
10-12 06:22Will the Patriots win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.54$61.09
10-08 21:56Will CeeDee Lamb finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns?BUY0.08$4.32
10-06 21:52Will the Eagles win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.6$32.59
10-06 20:16Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?BUY0.67$107.20
10-04 16:02Will the Philadelphia Eagles have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?BUY0.38$99.18
10-04 15:54Will the Philadelphia Eagles have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?BUY0.53$195.71