dabigferda
0xf80914a932812d83b33694c1c1ab5e743b6ab391
- Realised P&L
- $-733.37
- Volume
- $37.3k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.122Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$456.11at 0.612Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$315.30at 0.544Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
- +$240.00at 0.520Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun
- +$239.95at 0.094Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 03:45 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.35 | $146.20 |
| 08-01 23:58 | Will the Bills win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 01:11 | Pro Football: Aaron Donald to sign with any team before 2026-27 Regular Season? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 07-30 21:37 | Will the Rams win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.67 | $21.32 |
| 07-30 21:18 | Will Brendan Sorsby go undrafted in the 2026 NFL Supplemental Draft? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 07-29 23:13 | Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.37 | $10.70 |
| 07-28 21:07 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | SELL | 0.59 | $177.00 |
| 07-28 18:29 | Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.997 | $86.40 |
| 07-28 18:29 | Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.993 | $95.33 |
| 07-28 18:29 | Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.989 | $6.63 |
| 07-28 18:29 | Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.987 | $39.58 |
| 07-28 18:28 | Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.981 | $29.43 |
| 07-28 18:28 | Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.9787305874 | $14.49 |
| 07-28 18:28 | Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.977 | $39.08 |
| 07-27 22:02 | Will A'ja Wilson have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.2 | $80.20 |