dabigferda
0xf80914a932812d83b33694c1c1ab5e743b6ab391
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $79.2k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.122Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$455.60at 0.612Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$438.55at 0.456Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury
- +$315.30at 0.544Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
- +$309.99at 0.483Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 03:17 | Will Zay Flowers win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.04 |
| 11-01 03:17 | Will Zay Flowers win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.45 |
| 10-20 01:54 | Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? | SELL | 0.2610625 | $6.27 |
| 10-20 01:53 | Will the Carolina Panthers win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | SELL | 0.29 | $13.27 |
| 10-20 01:53 | Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.1540392383 | $26.69 |
| 10-20 01:53 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.2740002 | $54.80 |
| 10-12 16:13 | Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.043895491 | $8.76 |
| 10-12 16:13 | Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.043 | $3.87 |
| 10-12 16:13 | Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.48 |
| 10-12 06:22 | Will the Patriots win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.54 | $61.09 |
| 10-08 21:56 | Will CeeDee Lamb finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving touchdowns? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.32 |
| 10-06 21:52 | Will the Eagles win the season series against the Giants during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.6 | $32.59 |
| 10-06 20:16 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | BUY | 0.67 | $107.20 |
| 10-04 16:02 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | BUY | 0.38 | $99.18 |
| 10-04 15:54 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | BUY | 0.53 | $195.71 |