PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf800D8A2138a91548C14de2453Fe12E61bFF6554-1773053986761

0xf800d8a2138a91548c14de2453fe12e61bff6554

Realised P&L
$-184.31
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$21.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 08:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11?BUY0.27$5.40
10-09 08:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 11?BUY0.03175$0.64
10-08 18:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 10?BUY0.152804585$35.99
05-19 12:21Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.5$2.50
05-19 08:27Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY0.5$2.50
05-19 08:26Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
05-16 22:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?BUY0.8299999992$130.50
05-16 22:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?BUY0.5599999974$87.00
05-16 10:29Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?SELL0.59$88.50
05-16 07:01Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?BUY0.39$58.50
05-15 02:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?BUY0.7099999989$111.00
05-15 02:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?BUY0.7420718815$117.00
05-08 13:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?SELL0.76$119.70
05-08 13:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?SELL0.984$154.29
05-08 02:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?BUY0.6299999982$99.00