PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

caldu4

0xf7ffe4351b7ab92ec22026a64d674b1056d74bb7

Realised P&L
$-262.57
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$13.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1540.066$6.41$8.59
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1030.062$5.99$4.01
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? · Yes0.1000.012$1.20$8.80
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00$15.00
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-21 20:25Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1256545106$99.00
03-20 14:17Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?BUY0.1499999976$50.00
03-20 07:40Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?BUY0.0956937799$26.00
03-18 15:39Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1091378024$10.00
03-18 15:38U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?BUY0.08$8.00
03-18 15:38US strike on Colombia by March 31?BUY0.0251869568$3.00
03-18 15:35Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?BUY0.1034729188$10.00
03-18 15:35Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?BUY0.09$9.00
03-18 15:34Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?BUY0.12$12.00
03-18 15:33Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?BUY0.1000628034$10.00
03-18 15:30Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1518804701$15.00
03-18 15:29Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?BUY0.1544401544$15.00
03-18 15:25Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?BUY0.0370919519$10.00