PolyBot

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Traders

0xf7FE12DE33f29c04326F62A2BAFEa820B14FE238-1743361181107

0xf7fe12de33f29c04326f62a2bafea820b14fe238

Realised P&L
$103.02
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$245.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion? · Yes0.4060.530$130.49+$30.49
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5200.625$60.10+$10.10
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5300.585$55.19+$5.19
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on August 29? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 11:33Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?BUY0.4061492714$100.00
08-13 11:28Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5299999986$50.00
08-13 11:27Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5199999958$50.00
11-10 05:39Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?SELL0.994$44.17
11-05 13:49Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?SELL0.066$6.60
11-04 16:25Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?BUY0.4199999933$20.00
11-04 16:24Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?BUY0.2$20.00
11-04 16:24Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?BUY0.4499999921$20.00
11-04 16:22Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?BUY0.5944154667$20.00
11-02 01:12Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionBUY0.7699999935$20.00
11-02 01:11Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out EditionBUY0.6499999935$20.00
11-02 01:08Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?SELL0.780219539$35.54
11-01 13:57Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
11-01 13:56Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?BUY0.5399999881$20.00
11-01 13:54Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025BUY0.839999995$20.00