PolyBot

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Traders

Mars47

0xf7fdb4b47a946c9dbb78bf8bbb14b73bb28895ae

Realised P&L
$164.45
Volume
$95.1k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$47.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? · Yes0.1100.095$47.50$7.50
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.02
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$3.67
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$25.00
Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$3.00
Leicester City wins the Premier League? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.50
Will Doug Polk’s win his “Gauntlet” Challenge? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$1.04
Bournemouth wins the Premier League? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.50
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31? · No0.1270.000$0.00$91.05
Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$3.59
Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$3.67
Will Trump send the national guard to Baltimore? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$18.20
Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet win the NOF1.ai competition? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$0.60
Will the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$3.67
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-06 02:18Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?BUY0.07$1.05
06-05 21:26Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?BUY0.1285714286$90.00
11-29 01:09Will Kast win by at least 25%?BUY0.0670524664$48.08
11-08 18:02Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?BUY0.11$55.00
11-03 16:16Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?BUY0.15$13.50
11-03 15:46Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?SELL0.7633656589$401.45
10-30 22:40Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?BUY0.4136203219$21.33
10-27 19:41Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?BUY0.44$17.60
10-27 17:53Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?BUY0.34$136.00
10-27 17:37Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?BUY0.34$68.00
10-27 00:53Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.955$47.75
10-27 00:48Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?SELL0.61$106.19
10-25 23:37Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition?BUY0.05$5.02
10-22 23:53Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.14$9.80
10-22 23:48Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?BUY0.034$3.40