0xf7fcc1e35bc3406f0f088fb697ea959e8bdcb250
0xf7fcc1e35bc3406f0f088fb697ea959e8bdcb250
- Realised P&L
- $-13.43
- Volume
- $79.59
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7? · No | 0.300 | 0.285 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.84at 0.520Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?
- +$0.57at 0.715Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.808Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$0.44at 0.699Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?
- +$-0.04at 0.514Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 11:43 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:37 | Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:17 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.92 |
| 09-24 12:08 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 23:04 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:53 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 08:49 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999045 | $1.81 |
| 08-02 00:42 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 00:37 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 16:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 20:29 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 12:29 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 09:06 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-29 11:28 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |