slnwza
0xf7f4aabd461f017bfa898974a1b23c9b02a3c23f
- Realised P&L
- $-749.34
- Volume
- $39.0k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $24.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.240 | $24.00 | +$15.00 |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 29? · Down | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.76 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? · Down | 0.165 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.50 |
| XRP Up or Down on September 30? · Up | 0.396 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.00 |
| Solana Up or Down on September 30? · Up | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.92 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? · Up | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$163.54 |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz · Musetti | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$278.94at 0.292Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 3?
- +$182.43at 0.370Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 7?
- +$129.42at 0.340Ethereum Up or Down on September 30?
- +$84.89at 0.710Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 October 6-12?
- +$70.91at 0.220Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-05 02:39 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.156 | $126.33 |
| 12-05 02:39 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.52 | $273.65 |
| 12-05 02:38 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3545159445 | $272.70 |
| 11-13 09:33 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7699999999 | $405.22 |
| 11-13 09:33 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5199999995 | $400.00 |
| 11-13 09:32 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2469801051 | $200.00 |
| 11-13 09:31 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5629751893 | $562.96 |
| 11-13 09:31 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.83 | $442.26 |
| 11-11 10:39 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8191930057 | $436.50 |
| 11-11 03:54 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8600484482 | $887.60 |
| 11-10 08:57 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8720600867 | $900.00 |
| 11-10 08:27 | ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 11-09 12:25 | LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | SELL | 0.999 | $78.04 |
| 11-09 05:37 | LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |
| 11-09 02:05 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4300929381 | $448.43 |