PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

171201

0xf7ec331f55d36de68fd6ffbdfe0815a4a99961ac

Realised P&L
$-347.96
Volume
$32.6k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$29.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1190.070$29.31−$20.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Up0.5980.000$0.00−$22.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up0.2640.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up0.0230.000$0.00−$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up0.0560.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.0610.000$0.00−$55.00
Will Greece record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.2770.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$263.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$199.00
Will there be less than 200k initial jobless claims during the week ending February 14, 2026? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$20.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? · Yes0.4450.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Turkey record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative? · Yes0.1580.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-02 01:09Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.7399999988$100.00
04-01 17:54Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSELL0.0621827557$34.73
04-01 17:54Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.1688843673$88.03
04-01 17:54Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.75$1.38
04-01 17:53Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSELL0.16$10.80
04-01 17:52Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.4599999844$9.22
04-01 17:52Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.5799999861$9.40
04-01 17:52Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.6666600223$9.52
04-01 17:52Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.64$9.48
04-01 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSELL0.7473076328$48.27
04-01 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.6599999954$19.02
04-01 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.6699999839$9.52
04-01 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.4699999915$9.24
04-01 17:49Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSELL0.06$4.93
04-01 17:48Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.2699999681$4.47