niujin
0xf7e64073083b3dc4527e637d9f48836699aaba73
- Realised P&L
- $4.40
- Volume
- $79.5k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $79.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 28? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $27.96 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on September 29? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $25.62 | −$0.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 29? · No | 0.999 | 0.978 | $25.43 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.6kat 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$898.89at 0.500US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
- +$0.25at 0.985US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$0.24at 0.985Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 13?
- +$0.17at 0.991US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.63 |
| 09-28 01:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.97 |
| 09-28 01:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.97 |
| 08-10 03:10 | Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $12.54 |
| 08-10 03:08 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 08-10 03:07 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.94 |
| 08-10 03:07 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 07-21 04:07 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.94 |
| 07-21 04:06 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.97 |
| 07-21 04:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.98 |
| 06-30 04:22 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C or higher on July 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.90 |
| 06-30 04:22 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.97 |
| 06-30 04:22 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.96 |
| 05-14 10:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $29.34 |
| 05-14 10:25 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.98 |