0xF7d7a52A5109Ed9293f7FDeC40708e759D87Cd29-1761137414221
0xf7d7a52a5109ed9293f7fdec40708e759d87cd29
- Realised P&L
- $-43.69
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $185.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? · Yes | 0.418 | 0.455 | $66.36 | +$5.39 |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%? · Yes | 0.415 | 0.415 | $43.45 | +$0.02 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.998 | $38.34 | +$9.14 |
| Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.245 | $31.36 | −$4.48 |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.059 | $6.17 | −$0.57 |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? · Yes | 0.316 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.65 |
| Bills vs. Broncos · Bills | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.44 |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.445 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.60at 0.498Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$30.46at 0.430Spread: Texans (-3.5)
- +$21.84at 0.690Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?
- +$18.39at 0.620Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?
- +$17.02at 0.738Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 11:40 | Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 10-27 04:17 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $27.72 |
| 10-27 04:14 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $39.84 |
| 10-27 04:10 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $8.12 |
| 10-27 04:07 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $16.40 |
| 10-27 03:44 | Will Kevin Ashe win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election? | SELL | 0.999 | $37.96 |
| 10-27 01:50 | Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election? | SELL | 0.0016798912 | $0.07 |
| 10-27 01:49 | Will Matthew Shoemaker win the 2026 Sault Ste. Marie mayoral election? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.13 |
| 10-27 01:01 | Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election? | SELL | 0.0269187432 | $1.24 |
| 10-26 21:56 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.1671836321 | $9.89 |
| 10-26 21:53 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.061 | $4.76 |
| 10-26 19:21 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1919999877 | $1.99 |
| 10-26 18:54 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2049999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 18:27 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0768826258 | $6.00 |
| 10-26 17:23 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%? | BUY | 0.065 | $2.93 |