BTCEmpire
0xf7d572f54a2db45648f42fced052e16b48b45e4f
- Realised P&L
- $-8.18
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $5.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.175 | $5.25 | −$13.05 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 7? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.10 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 August 31-September 6? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.60at 0.670Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 August 31-September 6?
- +$5.00at 0.650Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 August 31-September 6?
- +$3.35at 0.330Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 31-September 6?
- +$0.90at 0.910Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 4?
- +$0.64at 0.840Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 03:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.91 | $10.44 |
| 09-15 06:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 09-15 06:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 09-15 06:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 09-15 02:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 09-07 09:06 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 7? | SELL | 0.62 | $5.95 |
| 09-03 12:59 | Will Lacy and Marlon have between 2 and 3 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | SELL | 0.19 | $11.41 |
| 06-05 19:52 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Phantom (+3.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 06-05 03:52 | Tyler (Doubles): Fuchs/Thayne vs Maginley/Suarez | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 12:18 | Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 06-04 12:18 | Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |