Joddles
0xf7ce17fbb97617dc00fb2a2f53872b5548c3d337
- Realised P&L
- $-183.29
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 651
- Open portfolio
- $7.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded651
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.50at 0.218Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$17.01at 0.504Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
- +$13.19at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$12.76at 0.510Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?
- +$12.54at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:56 | Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 19:34 | Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 21:10 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Socialist" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 19:49 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 12:40 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 12:19 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.64 |
| 10-29 00:57 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 00:57 | Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 18:08 | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.58 |
| 10-28 17:48 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.6299999296 | $3.40 |
| 10-28 17:41 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.4799999548 | $3.40 |
| 10-18 18:08 | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 18:07 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999595 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 18:07 | Will Trump say "Tariff" during his Science Summit remarks? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |