gougou111
0xf7ca7cadc0eae4fb366170d4699b822b0c61c72f
- Realised P&L
- $139.40
- Volume
- $138.0k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $343.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.935 | $93.50 | +$0.50 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.040 | $91.40 | −$1.15 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.815 | $79.87 | −$4.41 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.701 | 0.786 | $47.16 | +$5.10 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.983 | $31.44 | +$0.21 |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$3.69 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.331 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.08at 0.738Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
- +$44.40at 0.788Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$29.19at 0.818Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$26.12at 0.004Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$19.68at 0.007Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 14:03 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.701 | $42.06 |
| 09-11 14:02 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $92.56 |
| 09-11 14:01 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-11 13:59 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $84.28 |
| 09-11 13:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $153.76 |
| 07-08 13:14 | Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $31.23 |
| 07-08 13:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.78 | $163.80 |
| 07-08 13:10 | Netanyahu out by July 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $26.81 |
| 07-08 13:10 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $10.34 |
| 07-08 13:10 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $41.34 |
| 06-12 08:13 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.813 | $130.08 |
| 06-12 08:12 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $63.00 |
| 06-12 08:11 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $108.56 |
| 05-30 10:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $137.60 |
| 05-30 10:25 | Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.963 | $48.15 |