Idoneous
0xf7c892d17dd7fa2d86adf65ec0f8281906f42bfa
- Realised P&L
- $525.64
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,254
- Open portfolio
- $175.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,254
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.40at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5?
- +$36.79at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 18?
- +$36.60at 0.085Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 22?
- +$36.40at 0.090Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 11?
- +$35.59at 0.110Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.054 | $1.05 |
| 10-11 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 10-03 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.065 | $1.30 |
| 09-29 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.959 | $1.53 |
| 09-22 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.13 |
| 09-14 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-14 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-12 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on September 12? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-09 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 9? | BUY | 0.055 | $0.28 |
| 09-09 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |