PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Idoneous

0xf7c892d17dd7fa2d86adf65ec0f8281906f42bfa

Realised P&L
$525.64
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
1,254
Open portfolio
$175.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,254
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 12? · No0.6250.765$30.60+$5.60
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 12? · No0.4301.000$19.99+$11.39
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12? · No0.5700.965$19.28+$7.89
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 12? · No0.5500.450$18.00−$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 12? · No0.5300.735$13.05+$3.64
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 12? · Yes0.2000.605$12.10+$8.10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 12? · Yes0.1150.280$11.20+$6.60
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12? · Yes0.3000.555$11.10+$5.10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 13? · No0.5700.575$10.96+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12? · No0.4550.265$10.60−$7.60
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 12? · No0.5000.385$7.70−$2.30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12? · Yes0.2100.230$4.60+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12? · Yes0.1120.168$3.36+$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on October 12? · Yes0.0210.030$1.20+$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 12? · Yes0.0900.047$0.94−$0.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 14:05Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 12?BUY0.054$1.05
10-11 14:05Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 11?BUY0.12$2.40
10-03 14:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 3?BUY0.065$1.30
09-29 14:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 29?BUY0.959$1.53
09-22 16:55Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 23?BUY0.004$0.13
09-14 14:00Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 14?BUY0.93$4.65
09-14 14:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 14?BUY0.51$2.55
09-12 14:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on September 12?BUY0.97$19.40
09-09 20:00Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 9?BUY0.055$0.28
09-09 14:00Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 9?BUY0.97$19.40