Senphys
0xf7c3b6cb4badc158f44cef43364701d3a393eac2
- Realised P&L
- $139.60
- Volume
- $17.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,600
- Open portfolio
- $104.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,600
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.920 | 0.986 | $16.08 | +$1.08 |
| Vancouver FC vs. Inter Toronto FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.610 | 0.625 | $15.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.535 | $15.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Maldives win on 2026-09-24? · No | 0.985 | 0.986 | $15.02 | +$0.02 |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Denmark? · No | 0.920 | 0.915 | $14.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Goiás EC win on 2026-09-26? · No | 0.640 | 0.630 | $14.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Vancouver FC win on 2026-09-23? · No | 0.640 | 0.565 | $13.24 | −$1.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.98at 0.094Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$67.62at 0.016Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
- +$21.14at 0.422Barranquilla: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Leolia Jeanjean
- +$20.77at 0.333Birmingham: Elvina Kalieva vs Talia Gibson
- +$17.92at 0.462Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 22:57 | Will Maldives win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.985 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 22:31 | Buenos Aires 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Hugo Dellien | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 20:46 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Denmark? | BUY | 0.9199999975 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 18:38 | Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic | BUY | 0.6199999942 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 18:36 | Will Vancouver FC win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 15:40 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12? | BUY | 0.5299999961 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 15:31 | Buenos Aires 2: Murkel Dellien vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 14:01 | Porto: Ayana Akli vs Gabriela Knutson | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 13:40 | Ankara: Elena Pridankina vs Ksenia Zaytseva | BUY | 0.9 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 13:02 | St. Tropez: Thomas Faurel vs Mark Lajal | BUY | 0.9759999656 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 12:27 | Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton | BUY | 0.7599999919 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 11:42 | Tolentino: Isabella Maria Serban vs Rebeka Masarova | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 11:13 | Porto: Oceane Dodin vs Elena Malygina | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 10:30 | Plovdiv 4: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Calvin Hemery | BUY | 0.9399999987 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 09:34 | Ankara: Solana Sierra vs Deniz Dilek | BUY | 0.9 | $15.00 |