Tohuko
0xf7c3483e248fa31540767f7f3c323a93be55aeba
- Realised P&L
- $-119.89
- Volume
- $58.7k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $0.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.04at 0.027Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
- +$28.46at 0.107Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
- +$12.84at 0.003Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$11.65at 0.104Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
- +$10.69at 0.026Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 19:29 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:46 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.829999502 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:09 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0879999951 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:06 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0589999984 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 19:06 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.096999997 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 19:05 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 19:04 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0931247661 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 19:04 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0929999986 | $3.00 |
| 08-23 12:30 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1879998804 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 12:30 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.185 | $0.04 |
| 08-23 12:28 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.185 | $0.02 |
| 08-23 12:27 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.185 | $0.04 |
| 08-23 12:26 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1889998571 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 12:25 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.15 |
| 08-21 15:41 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1459998768 | $1.00 |