0x2725D030C83bE25e02dC6Ac763A1E8c0B1B85575-1774017064778
0xf7bc06e5c6517be3df7c227ad32ddb1581f96060
- Realised P&L
- $-4.93
- Volume
- $276.77
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $49.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.925 | $10.99 | +$0.89 |
| Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.950 | $10.80 | +$0.80 |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.945 | $10.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.935 | $10.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.765 | $7.08 | +$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.06at 0.767Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.02at 0.757Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$0.86at 0.762Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August?
- +$0.79at 0.868Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2?
- +$0.49at 0.922Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 05:51 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.72 |
| 09-07 05:51 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.24 |
| 09-03 04:45 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.50 |
| 09-02 19:22 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.7099999835 | $10.73 |
| 09-02 07:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2? | SELL | 0.94 | $10.91 |
| 09-01 19:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.8599999931 | $9.99 |
| 09-01 08:43 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.20 |
| 09-01 05:18 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.89 |
| 08-29 07:05 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999982 | $6.77 |
| 08-29 07:04 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7399999244 | $6.85 |
| 08-27 15:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August? | SELL | 0.87 | $7.49 |
| 08-27 15:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.9172022864 | $5.75 |
| 08-27 11:27 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on August 27? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.02 |
| 08-27 11:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 27? | SELL | 0.945 | $2.79 |
| 08-27 07:50 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.19 |