PolyBot

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Traders

PiMaak

0xf7bbfd4588f578697c0051e855d5d1a8838ba9f7

Realised P&L
$17.1k
Volume
$850.7k
Markets traded
420
Open portfolio
$12.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded420
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? · Yes0.4890.915$6.2k+$2.9k
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? · No0.9650.996$1.3k+$38.95
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? · No0.7040.580$1.2k$264.64
Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? · No0.8730.999$905.18+$113.40
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? · No0.8240.999$514.41+$89.90
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m? · No0.9700.998$468.06+$13.13
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? · Yes0.9770.993$285.31+$4.45
Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 13m? · No0.9330.984$206.21+$10.55
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · Yes0.6260.065$181.30$1.6k
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30? · No0.9790.998$179.65+$3.49
Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? · Yes0.2420.605$123.12+$73.84
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.8500.865$122.54+$2.12
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? · No0.9060.445$116.91$121.25
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? · Yes0.2490.555$85.29+$47.03
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m? · Yes0.7690.963$80.52+$16.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 05:49Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?BUY0.2671438816$29.06
09-20 05:47Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?BUY0.2631051233$285.07
09-20 05:45Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?BUY0.221066126$56.70
09-20 05:38Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?BUY0.199$79.60
09-20 05:35Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?BUY0.1549436385$104.03
09-19 21:45Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?BUY0.9157797302$58.37
09-19 21:45Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?BUY0.8908624603$196.26
09-19 21:36Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 13m?SELL0.9910487794$217.59
09-19 19:04Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?BUY0.8481690141$90.33
09-19 19:03Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?BUY0.242173913$55.70
09-19 16:41Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?BUY0.9770294987$280.87
09-19 16:34Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?BUY0.8665753425$442.82
09-19 15:36Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?BUY0.39$54.60
09-19 15:10Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?BUY0.7695055719$705.03
09-19 15:09Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?BUY0.7554324983$1.0k