0xad047bb31604332EA5A902DA84ef3E4b286986DF-1777508393629
0xf7bb424506dc25651d1443ab056aea09e1a5184e
- Realised P&L
- $-9.47
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$189.07at 0.099Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$182.83at 0.037US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
- +$45.09at 0.187UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$31.24at 0.249UFC Fight Night: Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago (Bantamweight, Prelims)
- +$15.98at 0.392UFC Fight Night: Xiao Long vs. Francesco Nuzzi (Bantamweight, Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.372 | $202.83 |
| 09-15 17:47 | Dana White's Contender Series: Oscar Ravello vs. Igor Cavalcanti (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3420830578 | $30.00 |
| 08-29 21:17 | Winston-Salem Open: Arthur Fery vs Ignacio Buse | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 21:15 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 21:15 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 13:06 | UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $55.49 |
| 08-29 09:34 | UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.43 | $19.54 |
| 08-29 09:27 | UFC Fight Night: Bilal Hasan vs. Nilson Rojas (Flyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.1313929517 | $18.87 |
| 08-29 09:06 | UFC Fight Night: Sean Woodson vs. Jack Jenkins (Featherweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.99 | $42.06 |
| 08-29 08:47 | UFC Fight Night: Sean Woodson vs. Jack Jenkins (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 08:47 | UFC Fight Night: Sean Woodson vs. Jack Jenkins (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.72 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 08:44 | UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 08:43 | UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 08:43 | UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 08:40 | UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Kevin Borjas (Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |