therealonestepahead
0xf7b9174e9eb91c697939bdcf45aa7d268498ad8f
- Realised P&L
- $-15.8k
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Markets traded
- 1,816
- Open portfolio
- $730.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,816
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? · No | 0.932 | 0.968 | $730.07 | +$26.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$828.92at 0.704Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25?
- +$731.12at 0.734Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
- +$674.80at 0.769Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$672.17at 0.742Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev
- +$668.57at 0.368Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 08:41 | Sydney Kings vs. Cairns Taipans | SELL | 0.999 | $189.08 |
| 09-20 08:03 | Sydney Kings vs. Cairns Taipans | BUY | 0.88 | $166.56 |
| 09-20 07:37 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-20 07:36 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.99 |
| 09-20 07:36 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.79 | $8.85 |
| 09-20 07:36 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.79 | $51.51 |
| 09-20 07:36 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.79 | $19.75 |
| 09-20 07:36 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.79 | $35.39 |
| 09-20 07:36 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.79 | $30.11 |
| 09-20 05:52 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.9491151226 | $107.26 |
| 09-20 05:52 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.9297663933 | $796.01 |
| 09-20 05:38 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $906.52 |
| 09-19 08:10 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.87 | $7.94 |
| 09-19 08:08 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.8319579236 | $540.58 |
| 09-16 21:02 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.72 | $4.69 |