0xf7B8906248f9f5a44f134d3F1923B8F7d6e3d8ce-1780993631482
0xf7b8906248f9f5a44f134d3f1923b8f7d6e3d8ce
- Realised P&L
- $-594.83
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 348
- Open portfolio
- $64.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded348
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.715 | $54.11 | +$14.00 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.405 | $10.08 | +$0.37 |
| Ravens vs. Falcons · Falcons | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.58 |
| Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.21 |
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.19 |
| Rams vs. Broncos · Rams | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.00 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) · Jaguars | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.85at 0.779Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 25?
- +$44.79at 0.649Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
- +$39.05at 0.512Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$36.92at 0.662Colts vs. Chiefs
- +$33.83at 0.542Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 17:43 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.529999995 | $40.11 |
| 10-12 15:38 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.3899999984 | $9.71 |
| 10-11 23:58 | Ravens vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.6299999983 | $40.58 |
| 10-11 13:13 | Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5199999969 | $40.45 |
| 10-04 23:01 | Broncos vs. 49ers | SELL | 0.91 | $62.18 |
| 10-04 20:38 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.91 | $61.04 |
| 10-04 20:22 | Broncos vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.5999999971 | $41.00 |
| 10-04 18:26 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.599999997 | $40.25 |
| 10-02 20:03 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.93 | $56.85 |
| 10-02 17:18 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6599999961 | $40.35 |
| 10-01 20:32 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.99 | $74.91 |
| 10-01 18:37 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.529999995 | $40.11 |
| 09-28 19:54 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $40.19 |
| 09-28 00:24 | Rams vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.519999999 | $41.00 |
| 09-26 15:45 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.5799999957 | $40.21 |