Temisdavid
0xf7b7c696791eacbbdc34dbfad48ba1d0b72f1882
- Realised P&L
- $-89.49
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $331.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.54at 0.048US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$91.09at 0.277Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$67.39at 0.308Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$48.10at 0.811Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$39.64at 0.670Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 02:29 | Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.4479999713 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 02:04 | Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.8099999957 | $30.00 |
| 09-24 01:59 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.7099999953 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 17:28 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.8559038687 | $36.50 |
| 09-22 17:25 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | SELL | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 09-21 22:07 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7547094462 | $70.00 |
| 09-21 02:38 | Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 02:38 | Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | BUY | 0.809999968 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 21:32 | Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? | BUY | 0.8251946448 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 21:26 | Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? | BUY | 0.7099999853 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 21:11 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.981 | $146.41 |
| 09-20 21:08 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.991 | $45.04 |
| 09-19 09:36 | Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7799999282 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 09:36 | Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7776282269 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 09:25 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |