PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ghostpeople3

0xf7aef134550f6127ba1094f8f4e7b742e11f97e6

Realised P&L
$518.78
Volume
$80.2k
Markets traded
1,429
Open portfolio
$114.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,429
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Paju Frontier finish 3rd in the 2026 K League 2? · Yes0.0100.465$5.20+$5.09
Will Jeonnam Dragons finish 3rd in the 2026 K League 2? · Yes0.0100.465$5.20+$5.09
Will Landskrona BoIS win the 2026 Superettan (Sweden)? · Yes0.0050.074$4.53+$4.22
Will Pärnu JK Vaprus be runner-up in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)? · Yes0.0200.486$4.23+$4.06
Will Harju JK Laagri be runner-up in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)? · Yes0.0200.465$4.05+$3.88
Will Östersunds FK win the 2026 Superettan (Sweden)? · Yes0.0200.460$4.00+$3.83
Will FCI Levadia be runner-up in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)? · Yes0.0200.441$3.84+$3.66
Will GV San Jose win Bolivia LFPB? · Yes0.0560.495$3.39+$3.01
Will Nacional Potosí win Bolivia LFPB? · Yes0.0560.495$3.39+$3.01
Will Real Oruro win Bolivia LFPB? · Yes0.0560.495$3.39+$3.01
Will Blooming win Bolivia LFPB? · Yes0.0560.495$3.39+$3.01
Will Indipendiente Petrolero win Bolivia LFPB? · Yes0.0100.495$3.39+$3.32
Will ABB win Bolivia LFPB? · Yes0.0560.495$3.39+$3.01
Will Aurora win Bolivia LFPB? · Yes0.0560.495$3.39+$3.01
Will Real Potosí win Bolivia LFPB? · Yes0.0100.495$3.39+$3.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 18:07Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-07 House election by 9%-12%?SELL0.076$0.48
09-21 09:46Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 21?SELL0.03$0.48
09-20 22:09Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-09-23?SELL0.06$0.40
09-20 13:46Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?SELL0.105$0.02
09-20 07:50Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.33$1.97
09-20 07:50Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?SELL0.38$0.65
09-19 19:04Will Sony INZONE Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award?SELL0.052$0.74
09-18 13:25Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 0%-45%?SELL0.003$0.03
09-17 20:47Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.128$0.51
09-17 17:17Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 30% or more?SELL0.004$0.03
09-17 17:17Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?SELL0.01$0.08
09-17 16:24Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.01$0.05
09-17 16:24Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 3% or more?SELL0.007$0.10
09-17 16:24Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election?SELL0.004$0.05
09-17 16:24Will Jordan Firstman win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.014$0.25