ghostpeople3
0xf7aef134550f6127ba1094f8f4e7b742e11f97e6
- Realised P&L
- $51.56
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $240.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.53at 0.038Will Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Mobile win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
- +$3.85at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5?
- +$1.40at 0.010Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
- +$1.29at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 6?
- +$0.92at 0.029Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 21:17 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 08-06 14:57 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.07 |
| 08-06 14:57 | Exact Score: CD Cuenca 2 - 3 Manta FC? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 08-06 13:01 | Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 08-06 12:17 | Exact Score: CA Tigre 3 - 3 CA River Plate? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 08-06 07:52 | Exact Score: FK Septemvri Sofia 3 - 0 PFC CSKA Sofia? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-05 20:53 | Exact Score: FK Septemvri Sofia 3 - 0 PFC CSKA Sofia? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 08-05 20:53 | Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 1 - 3 CA Aldosivi? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 08-05 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C or higher on August 6? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 08-05 16:13 | Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.14 |