PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF7Ab2B2Cf22B2371e0893e6ea4b7a3B4b3D8734e-1782244979761

0xf7ab2b2cf22b2371e0893e6ea4b7a3b4b3d8734e

Realised P&L
$-71.69
Volume
$9.1k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$8.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US annex any territory in 2026? · Yes0.0420.059$7.03+$2.02
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.75$1.25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? · Yes0.0700.006$0.46$4.54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? · Yes0.0060.001$0.08$0.92
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$5.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00$10.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
England leading at halftime? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$10.00
Morocco vs. Haiti: Neither team to score first? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$5.00
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners · Over0.4500.000$0.00$23.84
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Scotland vs. Brazil: Neither team to score first? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 2.5 · Over0.1700.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 12:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?BUY0.006$1.00
08-04 22:56Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-19 21:58Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.932$112.47
07-19 19:53Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.001$1.00
07-19 19:33Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0063462899$1.00
07-19 19:32Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0219999895$2.00
07-19 19:23Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in July 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
07-19 09:22Will US annex any territory in 2026?BUY0.0416369181$5.00
07-18 21:34France vs. England: O/U 2.5SELL0.05$5.00
07-18 21:30France vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.05$5.00
07-18 16:54Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0090140439$1.00
07-18 16:40Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
07-18 16:36 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?BUY0.014$5.00
07-16 20:22Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0780828208$1.10
07-15 21:15Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5799999973$70.00