0xF7Ab2B2Cf22B2371e0893e6ea4b7a3B4b3D8734e-1782244979761
0xf7ab2b2cf22b2371e0893e6ea4b7a3b4b3d8734e
- Realised P&L
- $-71.69
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $8.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.30at 0.290Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$40.63at 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$33.29at 0.133Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$16.02at 0.487Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
- +$11.95at 0.462Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 12:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 22:56 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.932 | $112.47 |
| 07-19 19:53 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:33 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0063462899 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:32 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0219999895 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 19:23 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in July 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 09:22 | Will US annex any territory in 2026? | BUY | 0.0416369181 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 21:34 | France vs. England: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 21:30 | France vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 16:54 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0090140439 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 16:40 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 16:36 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 20:22 | Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0780828208 | $1.10 |
| 07-15 21:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5799999973 | $70.00 |