PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MaryGarcia6799

0xf7a9208339d5e13d6cdad107588e2f964003fee3

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$495.8k
Markets traded
421
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded421
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026? · Yes0.5901.000$1.7k+$706.02
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? · No0.6701.000$964.00+$318.12
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks · Jacksonville State Gamecocks0.8491.000$847.00+$127.90
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? · SpaceX0.8201.000$730.00+$131.40
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.920$524.40+$159.60
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $1400.2900.554$472.56+$225.19
Bellarmine Knights vs. Northern Illinois Huskies · Northern Illinois Huskies0.5000.500$395.00+$0.00
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins0.4900.500$365.00+$7.30
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 19) · Yes0.8001.000$300.00+$60.00
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? · No0.6201.000$268.00+$101.84
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.3790.913$254.73+$148.99
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8120.168$160.30$616.79
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw? · No0.7401.000$86.00+$22.36
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 · Over0.4101.000$84.00+$49.56
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 3AM ET · Down0.5001.000$69.00+$34.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 04:34Weed rescheduled by December 31?SELL0.704$689.22
06-15 15:59Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.83$58.10
04-27 10:14Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.69$6.21
04-27 08:42Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?SELL0.06$29.22
04-27 08:41Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?SELL0.06$4.20
04-27 08:40Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.65$310.70
04-24 04:13Bellarmine Knights vs. Northern Illinois HuskiesBUY0.5$395.00
04-21 11:01Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.82$46.74
04-21 04:45Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.82$51.66
04-21 04:43Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.82$55.76
04-21 04:01Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?SELL0.87$145.29
04-21 03:59Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?SELL0.87$172.26
04-21 03:58Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?SELL0.87$151.38
04-21 03:21Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?SELL0.27$88.56
04-21 03:19Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?SELL0.27$51.03