8409af
0xf7a78b6f75135dba09d84c1a465dcba813b75e27
- Realised P&L
- $-164.47
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $8.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.420 | $8.40 | +$1.40 |
| Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Neither team to score first? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.12 |
| Club León FC vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Neither team to score first? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.40 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.696 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.35 |
| New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.00at 0.850Liverpool FC to score first vs. Newcastle United FC?
- +$54.00at 0.460Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$9.00at 0.775LDU de Quito vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Score
- +$4.90at 0.310Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- +$0.90at 0.500Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 12:46 | Club León FC vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-14 15:10 | Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 07-22 06:58 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.4 | $84.00 |