0xF7a664F8674e5bFcFAA4ca8708796b82F898a4b8-1780641765041
0xf7a664f8674e5bfcfaa4ca8708796b82f898a4b8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $206.0k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $104.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$396.00at 0.191Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5
- +$151.17at 0.007Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$113.83at 0.062Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$65.02at 0.860Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$53.66at 0.148Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:48 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $36.56 |
| 09-16 23:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $17.60 |
| 09-16 23:04 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $18.80 |
| 09-16 23:03 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $29.75 |
| 09-16 23:02 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $21.20 |
| 09-15 23:35 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $17.28 |
| 09-15 20:36 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.139 | $6.95 |
| 09-15 20:36 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.055 | $5.77 |
| 09-15 14:13 | Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage | BUY | 0.4883333333 | $14.65 |
| 09-15 14:12 | Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage | BUY | 0.2 | $4.53 |
| 09-15 14:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 14:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $24.00 |
| 09-15 00:26 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $20.10 |
| 09-14 16:49 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $18.00 |
| 09-14 11:17 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $13.80 |