0183648392
0xf7a4f1a3716f79e4f588642b5d60e61ddc1cf148
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $410.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,642
- Open portfolio
- $752.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,642
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.289Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 19?
- +$1.4kat 0.215Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 26?
- +$1.3kat 0.188Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?
- +$956.52at 0.189Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?
- +$891.06at 0.342Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3406666667 | $25.55 |
| 08-03 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.59 | $192.93 |
| 08-03 22:34 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.5782370322 | $35.23 |
| 08-03 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.56 | $51.84 |
| 08-03 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.79 |
| 08-03 21:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.4412 | $44.12 |
| 08-03 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.30332 | $68.25 |
| 08-03 20:52 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2795 | $27.95 |
| 08-03 19:39 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.4067567568 | $15.05 |
| 08-03 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.1774995833 | $10.65 |
| 08-03 18:38 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2776813333 | $166.61 |
| 08-03 18:36 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.197 | $9.85 |
| 08-03 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 08-03 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.24 | $48.00 |
| 08-03 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.1614422885 | $8.07 |