PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0183648392

0xf7a4f1a3716f79e4f588642b5d60e61ddc1cf148

Realised P&L
$3.2k
Volume
$410.2k
Markets traded
1,642
Open portfolio
$752.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,642
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4? · Yes0.5810.565$282.72$8.07
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4? · Yes0.2780.225$135.00$31.61
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4? · Yes0.3040.290$116.00$5.75
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3? · Yes0.5601.000$99.95+$43.95
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? · Yes0.4410.975$97.50+$53.38
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 4? · Yes0.1700.140$14.00$3.05
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3? · Yes0.6200.030$3.00$59.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3? · Yes0.3380.001$0.60$404.46
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 3? · Yes0.4720.001$0.21$201.81
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3? · Yes0.1700.003$0.16$9.02
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3? · Yes0.3020.001$0.15$92.08
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 3? · Yes0.2530.001$0.15$75.85
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 3? · Yes0.2670.001$0.12$63.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 3? · Yes0.4500.001$0.05$44.95
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 3? · Yes0.1790.001$0.05$17.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 23:37Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4?BUY0.3406666667$25.55
08-03 22:35Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4?BUY0.59$192.93
08-03 22:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4?BUY0.5782370322$35.23
08-03 21:58Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4?BUY0.56$51.84
08-03 21:56Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4?BUY0.54$10.79
08-03 21:35Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3?BUY0.4412$44.12
08-03 21:21Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4?BUY0.30332$68.25
08-03 20:52Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4?BUY0.2795$27.95
08-03 19:39Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 3?BUY0.4067567568$15.05
08-03 19:02Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 4?BUY0.1774995833$10.65
08-03 18:38Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4?BUY0.2776813333$166.61
08-03 18:36Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 3?BUY0.197$9.85
08-03 17:24Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 4?BUY0.16$6.40
08-03 15:58Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 3?BUY0.24$48.00
08-03 15:04Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 3?BUY0.1614422885$8.07