uwheeler
0xf7a1b7ce261e5750c02f0d69a8cd5602580865e6
- Realised P&L
- $-42.13
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $48.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Left Party (V) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No | 0.820 | 1.000 | $29.82 | +$5.35 |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.925 | $18.70 | +$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.66at 0.966Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
- +$0.31at 0.973Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
- +$0.11at 0.997Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.07at 0.996Will Ethereum reach $3500 in April?
- +$0.07at 0.960Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 05:50 | Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.9099999965 | $18.40 |
| 01-31 13:49 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.51 |
| 01-30 15:15 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.29 |
| 01-30 14:14 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999199 | $9.54 |
| 01-30 13:19 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9989999987 | $35.92 |
| 12-30 01:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.63 |
| 12-30 00:33 | Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $6.90 |
| 12-29 23:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $12.57 |
| 12-29 19:40 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $35.69 |
| 10-30 19:48 | Will Google have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9969999449 | $10.13 |
| 10-30 18:18 | Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.82 |
| 09-29 11:01 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999395 | $14.01 |
| 09-28 23:30 | Will Solana reach $270 in September? | BUY | 0.9959999326 | $12.77 |
| 09-28 21:41 | Will XRP dip to $2.00 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.56 |
| 08-31 16:45 | Netanyahu out by August 31? | BUY | 0.9989999775 | $13.68 |