PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

4zzzz

0xf7a19aad8bd78c2e5e50a0729f6342775a909dce

Realised P&L
$-64.8k
Volume
$4.93M
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$9.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0600.360$8.9k+$7.4k
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2730.021$551.21$6.5k
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.2080.000$0.00$27.1k
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.0950.000$0.00$5.4k
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00$4.8k
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · No0.0360.000$0.00$499.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00$38.1k
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? · Yes0.3740.000$0.00$12.0k
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.2k
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? · Yes0.1630.000$0.00$102.1k
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? · Yes0.1230.000$0.00$46.3k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$549.14
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$3.1k
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? · No0.3450.000$0.00$3.5k
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-09 15:09Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.06$362.40
06-09 15:08Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.27$1.6k
06-09 14:58Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2741239333$5.4k
06-09 14:58Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.06$1.1k
05-22 13:46Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY0.0796789587$2.4k
05-22 13:45Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY0.07$238.95
05-22 13:44Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY0.0685089459$367.17
05-22 13:34Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY0.068995025$3.7k
05-21 22:33Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?SELL0.5379025814$22.3k
05-21 22:31Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY0.08$2.5k
05-21 22:31Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY0.0736538386$4.5k
05-20 03:41Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY0.1029289957$6.1k
05-20 03:40Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?BUY0.329710238$13.6k
05-18 11:03Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY0.1389849913$2.4k
05-17 20:33Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?BUY0.2377243657$13.0k