4zzzz
0xf7a19aad8bd78c2e5e50a0729f6342775a909dce
- Realised P&L
- $-64.8k
- Volume
- $4.93M
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $9.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.1kat 0.158Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$87.9kat 0.184UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$43.6kat 0.474Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
- +$30.7kat 0.140Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$12.3kat 0.376Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 15:09 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.06 | $362.40 |
| 06-09 15:08 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.6k |
| 06-09 14:58 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2741239333 | $5.4k |
| 06-09 14:58 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.1k |
| 05-22 13:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.0796789587 | $2.4k |
| 05-22 13:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.07 | $238.95 |
| 05-22 13:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.0685089459 | $367.17 |
| 05-22 13:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.068995025 | $3.7k |
| 05-21 22:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | SELL | 0.5379025814 | $22.3k |
| 05-21 22:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.5k |
| 05-21 22:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.0736538386 | $4.5k |
| 05-20 03:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.1029289957 | $6.1k |
| 05-20 03:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | BUY | 0.329710238 | $13.6k |
| 05-18 11:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.1389849913 | $2.4k |
| 05-17 20:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.2377243657 | $13.0k |