PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gh58n1gf5h6

0xf79eff5d5f94db97b717aba012661daf7f47e434

Realised P&L
$44.68
Volume
$52.1k
Markets traded
349
Open portfolio
$359.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded349
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? · No0.5701.000$100.00+$43.00
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? · No0.7700.994$49.70+$11.20
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.635$31.75+$4.75
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.635$31.75+$4.75
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.4700.560$28.00+$4.50
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.380$19.00$5.50
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.8800.860$17.20$0.40
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · No0.8500.845$16.90$0.10
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k? · No0.6600.295$14.75$18.25
Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? · No0.6800.635$12.70$0.90
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5500.355$7.10$3.90
Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? · Yes0.4600.325$6.50$2.70
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes0.2400.125$6.25$5.75
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7100.185$3.70$10.50
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.155$3.10$2.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 08:44Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.46$9.20
09-02 16:14US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?SELL0.11$2.20
08-23 14:23Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.31$6.20
08-20 07:14Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.225$4.50
08-20 07:13Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.89$17.80
08-19 14:38Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.83$16.60
08-19 03:21Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.39$7.80
08-19 03:21Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?SELL0.63$12.60
08-19 03:21Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?SELL0.87$17.40
08-18 03:59Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?SELL0.3125$6.25
08-18 03:59Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?SELL0.527$10.54
08-18 03:59Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?SELL0.74$14.80
08-18 03:59Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.77$15.40
08-17 14:05Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 18?SELL0.56$2.72
08-17 05:58Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.15$3.00