PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fpowqjgwvnwrog

0xf799e1b2a3b805c227befc1d9cee7322d99e4e7d

Realised P&L
$58.94
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$1.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration97.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 17? · Yes0.1600.080$1.42−$1.42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$3.35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 14? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$2.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$2.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$2.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 02:55Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 2?SELL0.001$0.01
09-30 13:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?SELL0.999$99.70
09-29 11:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 30?SELL0.19$3.80