0xf79953a3187a7fbdebc5549c62882b6db62b7ce0
0xf79953a3187a7fbdebc5549c62882b6db62b7ce0
- Realised P&L
- $35.80
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $76.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.590 | $76.62 | −$40.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.15at 0.820EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$6.08at 0.962MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$3.90at 0.968Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$3.33at 0.960Citrea FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$1.86at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-27 08:21 | APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9 | $116.88 |
| 05-27 08:20 | Citrea FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9909009009 | $109.99 |
| 05-24 10:47 | Citrea FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 05-24 10:47 | Citrea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 05-24 10:46 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $161.53 |
| 05-01 14:28 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $159.22 |
| 03-31 05:03 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.962 | $153.92 |
| 03-24 10:33 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.82 | $135.30 |
| 03-20 04:56 | Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.968 | $125.84 |
| 03-15 07:14 | Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 03-14 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $129.74 |
| 03-14 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.989 | $128.57 |