0xf7964A7e2c38634162f7178c92309B5d78CB3543-1783213418981
0xf7964a7e2c38634162f7178c92309b5d78cb3543
- Realised P&L
- $777.58
- Volume
- $119.9k
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · No | 0.990 | 0.996 | $597.60 | +$3.60 |
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · No | 0.989 | 0.966 | $579.30 | −$14.07 |
| Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $365.81 | +$3.48 |
| Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar? · Verstappen | 0.346 | 0.637 | $206.80 | +$94.38 |
| Iasi: Taro Daniel vs Zdenek Kolar · Zdenek Kolar | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Contrexeville: Francesca Jones vs Leolia Jeanjean · Francesca Jones | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Cordenons: Georgii Kravchenko vs Juan Bautista Torres · Georgii Kravchenko | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Newport: Iryna Shymanovich vs Mary Stoiana · Iryna Shymanovich | 0.195 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.84at 0.873ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Namibia vs Nepal
- +$96.91at 0.960Will CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?
- +$88.22at 0.958Will Singapore vs. Indonesia end in a draw?
- +$86.52at 0.917Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-08-10?
- +$83.53at 0.570Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 16:03 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $338.12 |
| 09-30 16:02 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.57 |
| 09-30 16:01 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $919.80 |
| 09-30 15:58 | Will Tencent be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 09-13 14:42 | Will Fernando Alonso achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.998029033 | $85.25 |
| 09-12 15:04 | Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 09-06 18:51 | Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | BUY | 0.9889589333 | $593.38 |
| 09-05 11:55 | Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.99 | $62.37 |
| 09-04 19:18 | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9933164583 | $1.6k |
| 08-31 16:40 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $139.96 |
| 08-31 16:31 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.89 |
| 08-31 16:23 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $61.85 |
| 08-31 16:14 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $411.26 |
| 08-31 16:14 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $15.16 |
| 08-31 16:13 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $39.56 |