JohnyR
0xf794b68e97c230de47880a74611e826ae05aaba2
- Realised P&L
- $167.50
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 727
- Open portfolio
- $149.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded727
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.70at 0.135Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?
- +$35.25at 0.217Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?
- +$31.14at 0.292Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?
- +$29.75at 0.150Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?
- +$26.08at 0.233Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-22 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.86 | $7.98 |
| 08-07 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 06-15 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 06-14 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 06-05 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 05-20 09:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21? | SELL | 0.084 | $1.26 |
| 05-12 19:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 05-12 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 14? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.70 |
| 05-12 19:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 05-12 19:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.55 |
| 05-12 18:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13? | SELL | 0.53 | $3.71 |
| 05-12 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.32 |