0xf78b7902844f11626fd97465da44e8ea84738e01
0xf78b7902844f11626fd97465da44e8ea84738e01
- Realised P&L
- $95.64
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $100.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.963 | $19.71 | +$11.93 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.334 | $17.37 | +$7.37 |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30? · No | 0.533 | 0.702 | $13.16 | +$3.16 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.875 | $10.67 | +$0.67 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.845 | $10.17 | +$0.18 |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30? · No | 0.760 | 0.666 | $8.76 | −$1.23 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.205 | $7.01 | −$2.91 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.455 | $7.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.285 | 0.298 | $5.16 | +$0.23 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.059 | $1.96 | +$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.34at 0.163US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$42.89at 0.190Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by August 31?
- +$41.79at 0.193Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?
- +$20.30at 0.330Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?
- +$12.72at 0.440Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 22:40 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.99 |
| 10-09 17:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.937 | $9.99 |
| 10-09 08:43 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.763 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 22:33 | Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by September 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.70 |
| 08-31 20:13 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0065650356 | $0.58 |
| 08-30 21:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 21:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.9560430622 | $9.99 |
| 08-29 13:30 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $10.93 |
| 08-28 14:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.54 | $7.94 |
| 08-28 11:37 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 21:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $12.15 |
| 06-12 13:45 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.05 |
| 06-12 10:58 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 16:27 | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $8.44 |
| 04-27 15:35 | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $10.00 |