0bot
0xf787b8a3a4c6990f48614a0b9af8422e3e7a1b63
- Realised P&L
- $19.8k
- Volume
- $740.7k
- Markets traded
- 895
- Open portfolio
- $646.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded895
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$841.21at 0.794Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 29?
- +$687.81at 0.563Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?
- +$592.54at 0.006Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 26?
- +$520.70at 0.464Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?
- +$502.40at 0.812Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.7899683929 | $454.88 |
| 08-07 18:42 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 08-07 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.51 | $17.43 |
| 08-07 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.1556499775 | $13.87 |
| 08-07 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.2793048918 | $32.15 |
| 08-07 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 08-07 12:40 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 08-07 04:30 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.68 | $8.54 |
| 08-07 04:13 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.67 | $21.79 |
| 08-07 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.36 | $51.63 |
| 08-07 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.35 | $39.44 |
| 07-29 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.21 | $13.65 |
| 07-29 00:31 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.48 |
| 07-28 20:18 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.66 |
| 07-28 20:15 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |