PolyBot

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0bot

0xf787b8a3a4c6990f48614a0b9af8422e3e7a1b63

Realised P&L
$19.8k
Volume
$740.7k
Markets traded
895
Open portfolio
$646.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded895
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 8? · No0.7900.830$477.93+$23.05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 8? · Yes0.3600.475$68.12+$16.49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 8? · Yes0.2790.300$34.53+$2.38
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0310.016$32.00$30.97
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 7? · Yes0.2701.000$23.99+$17.51
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes0.4700.365$8.87$2.55
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8? · Down0.3400.000$0.00$34.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00$19.94
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$137.59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 25? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$54.00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 25? · Yes0.6050.000$0.00$47.07
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00$165.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$23.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 7? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00$14.12
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$62.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 02:53Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 8?BUY0.7899683929$454.88
08-07 18:42Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 7?BUY0.09$4.50
08-07 18:37Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?SELL0.51$17.43
08-07 13:59Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 7?BUY0.1556499775$13.87
08-07 12:44Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 8?BUY0.2793048918$32.15
08-07 12:42Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?SELL0.37$7.40
08-07 12:40Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 7?SELL0.98$39.20
08-07 04:30Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 7?BUY0.68$8.54
08-07 04:13Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 7?BUY0.67$21.79
08-07 04:09Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 8?BUY0.36$51.63
08-07 03:51Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?BUY0.35$39.44
07-29 03:49Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?BUY0.21$13.65
07-29 00:31Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?BUY0.54$3.48
07-28 20:18Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 29?BUY0.03$1.66
07-28 20:15Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 29?BUY0.04$2.00